33 8 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1003 -71 Strength Momentum |
897 48.0(38) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Gallup | 0.000 | 579 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1191 | 95% | |
08/27/15 | Miyamura | 0.000 | 696 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1144 | 89% | |
08/29/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.000 | 844 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 964 | 78% | |
09/01/15 | at Grants | 0.000 | 588 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1215 | 92% | |
09/04/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.001 | 654 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1039 | 91% | |
09/05/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.001 | 801 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1145 | 81% | |
09/08/15 | at Bosque | 0.001 | 1309 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-5) | 756 | 9% | |
09/15/15 | at Miyamura | 0.010 | 696 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 959 | 87% | |
09/17/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.016 | 729 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 926 | 85% | |
09/19/15 | at Aztec !! | 0.014 | 1058 | W 5- 1 | Better (+5) | 1241 | 38% | |
09/22/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.015 | 1201 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 807 | 18% | |
09/24/15 | St. Michael's ! | 0.027 | 904 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1196 | 70% | |
09/29/15 | Bloomfield | 0.064 | 729 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1057 | 88% | |
10/01/15 | Socorro | 0.100 | 1040 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 912 | 47% | |
10/03/15 | Hope Christian | 0.108 | 1088 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 885 | 38% | |
10/07/15 | Bosque | 0.164 | 1309 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 996 | 12% | |
10/10/15 | at Hope Christian ? | 0.165 | 1088 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 803 | 32% | |
10/15/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.203 | 1201 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 840 | 22% | |
10/17/15 | at Gallup | 0.029 | 579 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1320 | 94% | |
10/22/15 | at East Mountain ?? | 0.661 | 890 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 906 | 66% | |
10/31/15 | Ruidoso | 0.916 | 950 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1017 | 63% | |
11/05/15 | * Bosque | 0.925 | 1309 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1066 | 11% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rehoboth Christian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 897, while
Rehoboth Christian's "weighted playing strength" is 984
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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